What would happen if we did just up and leave?
A very real possibility of a brighter future for all involved, especially for The United States.
Short Term; we look silly for giving up, and sectarian violence of an epic scale.
Medium Term - the US looks wise for 'dropping the rifle'; not too many nations at war do that. 'Picking up the rifle' is intoxicating.
That region will then goe on a self defeating violent rampage that contributes further to their own anarchy and demise, further strengthening the US.
An economic hiccup will occur with a surge in oil prices, but would be tempered by the observant going after big oil for excessive profiteering and a demand to divert petro subsidies to alternative energy policy.
Long Term - That region bleeds itself hard, and and a proper and more modern series of states arises - I need not remind anyone here that European nations and their progeny did not get decent until they first played with self and mutual destruction.
Intervention in the internal and/or regional activities of States is fundamentally and historically WRONG. This simply arrests the natural progression of a Nation or Nations. Intervention only works when it is far more than intervention; it works only when those with the will to intervene are on a goal to crush and dominate the region they have entered; they must be willing to kill and destroy everyone and everything to do it. We are not.
The region will self destruct and focus on its internal divisions and hatred, and will not care one bit about taking on the US.
AQ is/was correct in one thing; it only takes on the US because we are in their sandbox first, trying to make their region in our image.
Who the hell do we think we are? What gives us the right to intervene in history; to make the world in our image?
Indeed; our commitment to focus on them (al-Queda and friends)only empowers and emboldens them.
If we had just shrugged them off, withdrawn in concurrence with an anti-oil foreign policy, and embarked on the 'get off the oil' Manhattan project, we would of spent far less money, lost a lot less lives, and made a whole lot more friends, and created a new technology with a huge new capital stream.
Another fine example of Industrialist driven domestic and foreign relations ruining our nation; our history has many such sad chapters.
His book seems so ignorant of history - one can successfully argue that it is the Jew that suffers from ‘Apartheid’. Israel is the core of the problem only if you realize that the Arab states make it so, in their bids for power. Enemy of our enemy, and all that entails.
This holds true to the Palestinian organizations.
The PLO spawned Hamas; the PLO, of which Fatah is the largest faction, is the political arm of Palestinian nationhood, and its first focus for power was to take over Jordan. Hamas is the fanatic religous arm of the party, split from it. Think of it as the Islamic Crusaders out to convert the world to Islam through Jihad.
Hezzbollah is a mix of the two, and is mostly known for hijacking the State of Lebanon, and is supported by Iran and Syria. It is a proxy group being used for the designs of Iran.
Israel is stuck in this mess.
The Koreans have an ancient proverb; ‘In the Battle of the Whales, it is the shrimp that suffer’
Jimmy Carters shrimpy brain is overpowered by his whalish ego, contributing to more blood letting over there..bad move, Mr. Carter.